- the favourite has more than 60% possession of the ball;
- the outsider has fewer than five shots on target and fewer than three goalpost hits;
- the outsider reaches the favourite's goal less than once every five minutes;
- the outsider took no more than one corner shot.
The player chooses from two bets: the individual total of the outsider is less than 0.5 or less than 1. An ITL of 0.5 makes sense if the player is confident that the outsider will not score. An ITL of 1 helps minimise risk. If the outsider scores one goal, the bet will be returned.
How to choose matches?
- Look for matches in top professional leagues. In lesser known tournaments, the difference between favourites and outsiders is not as pronounced, and favourites are more likely to concede random goals that ruin the strategy. For the same reason, matches in women's football, youth championships and exhibitions games also are not ideal.
- Choose matches where the favourite's chances of winning are estimated at odds above 1.25. In this case, the teams will not be too unequal, and the favourite will most likely play as well as they can.
- Do not bet on matches in high-scoring tournaments, such as championships in the Netherlands and Germany. Leagues where the most common score is 1:0 or 0:0 are best suited.
What are the disadvantages of the Dallas strategy?
The strategy only works with a narrow range of outcomes and is only profitable if the outsider does not score. Any accident can ruin the strategy. For example:
- the favourite concedes a random goal;
- the favourite's playing potential collapses if a key player is injured;
- by the end of the match the favourite is leading with a large advantage, so they lose concentration and concede a goal they shouldn't have;
- the outsider plays a portion of the game extremely well and scores.
It is difficult to recoup losses after a loss bet because the odds are low: a bet that the outsider will not score is usually set below 1.50. To recoup a single lost bet, you will need at least two wins, so the percentage of bets won must be above 60%. In the long term, even cappers do not often have a percentage this high.
It's often more profitable to bet on a more predictable event, for example, on the outcome, total or victory with a handicap. This way, the odds will certainly be higher than bets on an outsider not scoring.
Where did the Dallas strategy come from?
When the Dallas betting strategy first appeared, it was only available for purchase. From 2014 to 2020, its authors sold it for several thousand RUB, and even guaranteed a profit. Players could also purchase bots with betting suggestions, individual training sessions and webinars. To keep the product relevant, its authors later refined the strategy and came up with different options, for example, with bets on a handicap to minimise risk.
In 2019, the project gained wide popularity. Around the same time, cappers started to analyse the strategy, and most discredited its ability to turn a guaranteed profit. Also, the strategy's authors were often caught lying: the odds on ad screenshots were much higher than actually offered by betting companies.
In 2020, the authors closed all resources related to bets and left the betting market. Now they sell investment courses.